Electricity demand is driven by factors such as temperature, population and economic activities. Singapore’s system peak demand has been increasing steadily and is projected to grow at a Compound Annual Growth Rate (“CAGR”) of 2.6% - 5.3% (or 2.1GW - 5.1GW) from 2023 to 2032. Over the next five years (2023 to 2028), system peak demand is projected to grow at a CAGR of 3.4% - 6.5% (or 1.4GW - 3.1GW).
Projected demand growth over the next decade is expected to be higher than the historical CAGR of 1.5% between 2013-2022. This is driven largely by the growth in existing electricity-intensive sectors as well as emerging electricity-intensive sectors.
Looking at the demand and supply outlook as set out in the consultation paper, the projected reserve margin for 2028 – 2030 is expected to fall below the 27% reserve margin if demand grows in line with base projections. Given this, EMA anticipates that additional generation capacity will be needed in 2028 to ensure sufficient generation capacity to meet the projected growth in demand and our reserve margin requirements.
Thus, EMA is launching a request for proposal (“RFP”) for the private sector to build, own and operate (“BOO”) new generation capacity by end-2027.